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Will House Prices Enter a “Brexit Relief Rally” or Keep Falling This Summer?

House prices are likely to continue falling for another six months in the UK and for the whole of 2019 in London and the south-east, according to the latest survey by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS).

Separate official government data shows that rents are also falling, with tenants typically paying £757 a month, down from £772 a year ago, continuing a pattern of declines that began after the Brexit vote in 2016.

The RICS said that its March poll of surveyors found a subdued picture across the UK, with sales weak and an eighth successive month of falling inquiries from buyers. The average time it takes to sell a property remains unchanged at 19 weeks, the joint longest period since the RICS started recording the data in 2017. It added that it takes longest to sell a home in the south-east of England, at 21.5 weeks on average.

The lacklustre sales market is deterring potential sellers from putting their homes on the market, said the RICS, adding: “The ongoing decline in new instructions being listed for sale has intensified of late.”

The surveyors’ body does not record house prices, but instead gives a net positive or negative balance about where surveyors reckon prices are heading. “The survey’s headline price net balance came in at -24%, from -27% previously,” said the RICS.

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