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Post-election supply surge fails to materialise

House prices rose again in May, and at a quicker pace than in April, as the stock of homes per UK surveyor fell to a record low since the data series began in January 1978, according to the latest RICS UK Residential Market Survey.

While 34% more surveyors saw prices rise in May (the same month in which the Nationwide Building Society estimated that the average price of a home in the UK has now climbed to £195,000), supply to the market declined for the fourth consecutive month with 19% more surveyors reporting a drop in new instructions.

Despite the rise in new buyer enquiries, which increased from a net balance of 4% in April to 18% in May, many respondents to the survey expressed some surprise at the lack of ‘post-election bounce’ in fresh supply following the unexpectedly decisive outcome to the poll. The North West and London saw the sharpest drop in instructions compared with April. More ominously, UK-wide listings have now failed to see any meaningful growth since the middle of 2013.

Additionally, although respondents’ reported a slight improvement in credit conditions with higher perceived loan to value ratios on mortgages to first time buyers and existing home owners, the average number of newly agreed sales per surveyor rose only very marginally to 19 (down from 23 in May 2014).  

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