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Swedish banks choose worst time to insist on repayment mortgages, says RBS

Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc (RBS) says lenders in Sweden have chosen the ‘worst’ moment to tighten lending standards in Scandinavia’s biggest economy. A decision by the Swedish Bankers’ Association last week to force homeowners to amortize all new mortgages that are in excess of 50% LTV risks hurting demand in an economy already grappling with disinflation and its associated risks, according to Par Magnusson, RBS’s chief economist in Stockholm.

“I can’t envision a worse timing when we have an economy with such low inflation, a depleted monetary policy, a big output gap in the economy,” Magnusson reportedly told Bloomberg, adding, “tightening is exactly the opposite of what this economy needs.”

Inflation has been less than the Swedish Riksbank’s 2% target for almost three years, prompting Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman in April to warn that Sweden faces a Japan-like deflation trap. Three months later, the Riksbank cut its main interest rate by 50 basis points to 0.25%.

Of those borrowers with mortgages that are less than 75% of their property’s value, only 40% are currently paying down their debt, according to a 2013 report by the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority.

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